Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.733488 1.980975 2.252798 2.573755 2.942711 3.353970 3.847716
2025-08-31 1.351699 1.668852 2.046008 2.528565 3.131067 3.860449 4.813410
2025-09-07 1.158404 1.527205 1.996474 2.639662 3.502015 4.623481 6.201118
2025-09-14 0.993804 1.386567 1.916459 2.687587 3.787990 5.312109 7.601226
2025-09-21 0.848561 1.244036 1.805673 2.667305 3.966602 5.869889 8.900807
2025-09-28 0.715240 1.095378 1.660261 2.568440 4.006940 6.222449 9.941287
2025-10-05 0.661092 1.054783 1.665263 2.691131 4.393517 7.143459 11.997522
2025-10-12 0.616384 1.021232 1.674159 2.817203 4.797913 8.142820 14.331895
2025-10-19 0.566461 0.971487 1.648661 2.879693 5.099849 9.006732 16.559622
2025-10-26 0.520807 0.922337 1.616583 2.923912 5.371692 9.849229 18.871188
2025-11-02 0.463887 0.845881 1.526853 2.851145 5.417291 10.281407 20.463739
2025-11-09 0.404949 0.758434 1.406506 2.704706 5.301228 10.387590 21.419153
2025-11-16 0.367177 0.707404 1.349951 2.678168 5.425709 11.000114 23.557219
2025-11-23 0.331132 0.655422 1.285502 2.627815 5.495934 11.515293 25.581374
2025-11-30 0.316835 0.644698 1.300525 2.741666 5.925475 12.845171 29.642009
2025-12-07 0.297266 0.620775 1.285828 2.790551 6.221337 13.928934 33.327039
2025-12-14 0.273335 0.584784 1.241612 2.768945 6.355948 14.669732 36.320107
2025-12-21 0.245269 0.536587 1.165632 2.665887 6.287468 14.928403 38.158980
2025-12-28 0.238129 0.533686 1.188381 2.793298 6.784964 16.614561 43.976525
2026-01-04 0.231495 0.531097 1.211403 2.924292 7.310437 18.450317 50.536438
2026-01-11 0.220716 0.517602 1.207613 2.989219 7.678461 19.941187 56.423811
2026-01-18 0.209580 0.501955 1.196862 3.035171 8.003830 21.369938 62.405114
2026-01-25 0.192318 0.469470 1.141679 2.959501 7.992765 21.885866 65.781054